Battery storage costs have evolved rapidly over the past several years, necessitating an update to storage cost projections used in long-term planning models and other activities. This work documents the development of these projections, which are based on recent publications of storage costs.
In 2024, the global energy storage is set to add more than 100 gigawatt-hours of capacity for the first time. The uptick will be largely driven by the growth in China, which will once again be the largest energy storage market globally.
The suite of publications demonstrates wide variation in projected cost reductions for battery storage over time. Figure ES-1 shows the suite of projected cost reductions (on a normalized basis) collected from the literature (shown in gray) as well as the low, mid, and high cost projections developed in this work (shown in black).
Figure ES-2 shows the overall capital cost for a 4-hour battery system based on those projections, with storage costs of $245/kWh, $326/kWh, and $403/kWh in 2030 and $159/kWh, $226/kWh, and $348/kWh in 2050.
The round-trip efficiency is chosen to be 85%, which is well aligned with published values. Battery storage costs have evolved rapidly over the past several years, necessitating an update to storage cost projections used in long-term planning models and other activities.
Last year’s record global additions of 45 gigawatts (97 gigawatt-hours) will be followed by continued robust growth. In 2024, the global energy storage is set to add more than 100 gigawatt-hours of capacity for the first time.
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