That is probably the reason why the “Sun Screen” study from Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia (CLSA) quoted an average selling price of $24/kg for polysilicon in 2003. On January 1, 2004, an amendment of the German Renewable Energy Law significantly raised the feed-in tariff for electricity from solar power.
This is an increase of more than 600% from the low pricing of under $7/kg seen in the second quarter of 2020. It takes about 3 grams of raw polysilicon to create each watt of a solar panel, so a 400 W residential solar panel uses 1.2 kg of polysilicon. The largest panels – 700 W utility-scale modules – use 2.1 kg.
Polysilicon price forecasts are usually based on the industry cost curve. In the early 1980s the consulting company McKinsey popularized this microeconomic graph that is ideally suited to predicting the price of commodity products like polysilicon.
With a specific silicon consumption of 13 g/W and an annual spot price average of $43/kg, the share of the higher polysilicon costs ($0.56/W) in the module price ($3.35/W) rose only slightly to 16.7 % in 2004. The PV branch widely thought that polysilicon manufacturers would expand their production capacities to meet increasing demand.
However, creating PV modules relies heavily on specific materials whose production rates are affected by prices and supply. Polysilicon is one of those specific materials, and if solar PV is going to be the solution, it will be critically important.
It said that by the end of 2022, the world will have approximately 285 GW of polysilicon manufacturing capacity online. While the executive preview version of the report does not share future polysilicon pricing, CEA does suggest that the average 2022 wafer pricing of $0.13/W could fall by as much as 23% by the end of 2023.
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In view of the high polysilicon prices caused by the shortage, ... Get valuable guidance with cash cost data on 30 solar-grade polysilicon plants and spot price forecasts through 2027; Go to the Report. Learn all about the polysilicon market. Comments Add a comment. Mandatory field Name * Mandatory field E-mail (will not be published) * Website. Please add 4 and 6. * Comment. …
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With a specific silicon consumption of 14 grams per watt (g/W) and a spot price of $28/kg, polysilicon made up costs of $0.39/W or 12.6% of the average wholesale solar module price ($3.10/W) in 2003. Due to the strong demand and the higher polysilicon costs, the average module price increased to $3.35/W in 2004. With a specific silicon ...
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With a specific silicon consumption of 14 grams per watt (g/W) and a spot price of $28/kg, polysilicon made up costs of $0.39/W or 12.6% of the average wholesale solar module price ($3.10/W) in 2003. Due to the strong demand and the higher polysilicon costs, the …
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If all proceeds as planned, the factory could potentially generate a polysilicon output ranging between 10,000 to 20,000 MT by the end of 2025. According to a polysilicon market source based in China, the primary advantage of the Oman project, as a polysilicon plant outside of China, stems from its cost-effectiveness strategy. The production ...
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