Solar PV of China accounted for about one third (174GW) of the global total installed capacity in 2018 and contributed to 3.5% of national total power generation in 2020 .
For the pathway modelled in this study, in which the technology improvement rate of HSPV during the past five years was considered, the total installed capacity would increase from 253 GW in 2020 to 1998 GW and 4548 GW in 2030 and 2050, respectively. Fig. 3. Future development trend of solar PV in China.
Modelling results have led to the following main conclusions. It is predicted that the installed capacity of HSPV in China would increase at the rate of 13.7 GW/yr during the next decade driven by the long-term climate ambition, making up about 50% of the entire rooftop solar power market by 2050.
In addition to the first-tier cities such as Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Shenzhen, most of the group members are from Shandong, Jiangsu and Guangdong Province along the eastern coast. Three large cities in the northeast from Liaoning Province are also included because of their relatively rich solar energy resource.
The first one is electricity bill savings since part of the electricity produced by solar panels is used for self-consumption, and the other is the extra gains by selling remaining electricity to the grid (all the generation is assumed for self-use if the generation potential is smaller than annual household electricity demand).
The share of distributed solar PV (DSPV) in national installed capacity of solar PV increased from 13.33% in 2016 to 31.1% in 2020, to which household solar PV (HSPV) contributed less than 20%.
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