Between 2022 and 2023, utility-scale solar PV projects showed the most significant decrease (by 12%). For newly commissioned onshore wind projects, the global weighted average LCOE fell by 3% year-on-year; whilst for offshore wind, the cost of electricity of new projects decreased by 7% compared to 2022.
In real terms (i.e. excluding the impact of inflation), the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is expected to increase in most large solar PV and wind markets, excluding China. The higher cost of capital could offset most of the cost decreases resulting from lower commodity prices and further technology innovation in the next two years.
Conservative estimates indicate the result would be a consistent solar energy generation cost of less than $0.02/kWh in central Europe and below $0.01/kWh in Southern Europe and the southern United States. Our empirical modelling is characterized by transparent, comprehensible assumptions and lower complexity than the dominant approach.
We expect the volume of installed solar generation capacity to rise from 1.24 TW, in 2022, to around 14 TW in 2030. The module price will fall from $0.22 per Watt-peak of generation capacity, in summer 2023, to $0.097/Wp in 2030. Global volume will rise by a factor of 11 and the price will more than halve.
Results underline large country differences in cost of capital. The approach can complement but not replace other methods to estimate cost of capital. The cost of capital (CoC) is an important parameter for accurately calculating power generation cost, particularly for capital-intensive renewables such as solar PV.
Consequently, the average LCOE for utility-scale PV and wind could be 10-15% higher in 2024 than it was in 2020. Although their costs continue to exceed pre Covid-19 levels, solar PV and onshore wind remain the cheapest option for new electricity generation in most countries.
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In 2022, the global weighted average levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) from newly commissioned utility-scale solar photovoltaics (PV), onshore wind, concentrating solar power (CSP), bioenergy and geothermal energy all fell, …
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In 2022, the global weighted average cost of electricity from newly commissioned utility-scale solar photovoltaics (PV), onshore wind, concentrating solar power (CSP), bioenergy and …
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Power generation from renewable energy technologies is increasingly competitive, despite fossil fuel prices returning closer to the historical cost range. The most dramatic decline has been seen for solar PV generation; the LCOE of solar PV was 56% less than the weighted average fossil fuel-fired alternatives in 2023, having been 414% more ...
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In 2022, the global weighted average levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) from newly commissioned utility-scale solar photovoltaics (PV), onshore wind, concentrating solar power (CSP), bioenergy and geothermal energy all fell, despite rising materials and equipment costs.
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